Threat and Risk Assessments
Law enforcement agencies globally react diversely and identify threats and priorities risks that are presented from various crimes and criminal organizations in various ways. Although all agencies cannot fall under a universal threat and risk assessment more universal TRA’s would help different agencies to assess each other’s data effectively engaging in more fluid communication with interagency communications in accordance to wishes of Attorney General post 9-11. (Ratcliffe pg. 147) It is in the best interest of law enforcement agencies to develop proper framework to address the scope of threat that can be presented and the corresponding risk.
This is what I have decided to build upon for topic choice from Chapter 9 of the book.
Objective Building a Threat and Risk Assessment
Threat and risk assessments are often times not correctly used and mistaken for one another. “A threat assessment examines the nature and magnitude of specific threats can pose harm. In a TRA equation, risk is the probability that an adverse even may occur and the impact of that event in terms of extent and severity. “(Ratcliffe pg. 148) Experts have even been known to incorrectly identified risk assessments when they lack risk a risk component thus appearing more as a threat assessment.
A threat assessment should begin with a clear statement of the threat issue to be assessed and the intended scope of the analysis.” Ratcliffe pg. 149) Threat assessment vary in scope
“Analytical Methods within crime intelligence are typically divided into two broadly overlapping categories – qualitive and quantitive techniques. ‘Hard’ quantitive techniques are sometimes preferred over ‘soft’ qualitive as having more rigor with numerically measurable outcomes. However qualitive analysis can, and often should, encompass structured methodologies to logically assess problems in a systematic way. There is value to the integration of both qualitive and quantitive techniques into a structured approach to assess threats and risks.“(Ratcliffe pg. 147)
Ratcliffe, J. (2009). ASSESSMENT. Strategic thinking in criminal intelligence (2nd ed., ). Annandale, N.S.W.: Federation ;.
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