### An accident prone person has a .4 probability of having an accident within a fixed one year period. A non-accident prone person has a .2 probability of an accident in the fixed one year period. 30% of the population is accident prone. What is the probability that someone has an accident in the second year given that he or she had no accident in the first year?

An accident prone person has a .4 probability of having an accident within a fixed one year period. A non-accident prone person has a .2 probability of an accident in the fixed one year period. 30% of the population is accident prone. What is the probability that someone has an accident in the second year given that he or she had no accident in the first year?

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